Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021789 0.023411 0.025100 0.026993 0.029056 0.031240 0.033729
2024-10-20 0.018704 0.020982 0.023477 0.026422 0.029813 0.033607 0.038191
2024-10-27 0.017082 0.019798 0.022890 0.026690 0.031258 0.036600 0.043366
2024-11-03 0.015752 0.018738 0.022246 0.026699 0.032242 0.038970 0.047836
2024-11-10 0.014860 0.018078 0.021959 0.027030 0.033541 0.041706 0.052858
2024-11-17 0.013831 0.017145 0.021236 0.026710 0.033930 0.043246 0.056372
2024-11-24 0.013037 0.016440 0.020725 0.026589 0.034515 0.045015 0.060249
2024-12-01 0.012247 0.015679 0.020080 0.026223 0.034710 0.046227 0.063390
2024-12-08 0.011710 0.015209 0.019777 0.026275 0.035448 0.048190 0.067687
2024-12-15 0.011083 0.014579 0.019214 0.025923 0.035576 0.049271 0.070737
2024-12-22 0.010458 0.013918 0.018568 0.025406 0.035419 0.049905 0.073123
2024-12-29 0.009984 0.013436 0.018143 0.025169 0.035639 0.051081 0.076389
2025-01-05 0.009529 0.012966 0.017714 0.024909 0.035816 0.052211 0.079687
2025-01-12 0.009016 0.012389 0.017104 0.024347 0.035498 0.052556 0.081729
2025-01-19 0.008778 0.012194 0.017034 0.024581 0.036405 0.054850 0.087133
2025-01-26 0.008492 0.011915 0.016824 0.024586 0.036945 0.056579 0.091695
2025-02-02 0.008307 0.011774 0.016810 0.024886 0.037960 0.059129 0.097855
2025-02-09 0.007978 0.011404 0.016433 0.024596 0.037998 0.060051 0.101181
2025-02-16 0.007715 0.011124 0.016180 0.024487 0.038320 0.061458 0.105477
2025-02-23 0.007414 0.010772 0.015801 0.024154 0.038245 0.062171 0.108524
2025-03-02 0.007222 0.010580 0.015661 0.024201 0.038812 0.064028 0.113864
2025-03-09 0.006955 0.010262 0.015309 0.023882 0.038726 0.064713 0.116976
2025-03-16 0.006669 0.009903 0.014880 0.023412 0.038352 0.064850 0.119006